Key Takeaways
- Three wallets, likely one whale, moved 482,228 SOL since Oct. 23, with 171,430 SOL sent to exchanges.
- SOL trades near $99.89, down 17% in 30 days and 66% below its January 2025 peak of $293.
- About 291,700 SOL, or roughly $29 million, still sits in the wallets and could reach exchanges next.
Three Wallets Appear
The trail starts on the evening of Oct. 23 when, within a span of two minutes, three brand-new Solana addresses recorded their first transactions. Nobody has claimed them and Arkham has them listed as wallet A, wallet B, and wallet C (without a label).
Onchain analysts subsequently connected the dots earlier today, claiming that the wallets, possibly belonging to the same whale who had moved 482,228 SOL worth $49.17 million over three days, all with the intention to sell.
The selling has been steady rather than sudden, and according to Lookonchain, 171,430 SOL, about $17.3 million, has already been deposited to various exchanges. The methodology is quite common (i.e., splitting coins across fresh addresses and feeding them in slices) and is used to contain slippage and avoid spooking order books.
Lastly, as of Oct. 27 04:20 UTC, Solscan records show that all three wallets were still sending transactions.
What Amount Is Still Sitting
A balance check on the three addresses tells us how much ammunition is left, and as of a few hours ago, they held roughly 96,743 SOL, 97,639 SOL and 97,312 SOL. That adds up to about 291,700 SOL, or around $29 million at current prices.
The near-identical balances look like the whole process was carried out with a bigger plan in mind. If the pattern holds, the remaining $29 million is the next slice headed for exchanges.
The Backdrop of SOL Being at $100
From the outside looking in, the whale is selling into weakness, not strength, given that SOL is currently trading at $99.89, down 5% over seven days, 17% over 30 days and 51% over the past year. The token sits about 66% below its $293.31 record from Jan. 19, 2025.
The $100 line has turned into a coin flip, with Manifold’s market asking “whether SOL will close above $100 on Oct. 31” showing 63% odds when it opened on Oct. 20, back when SOL was near $104.
The wider market is not helping either, as bitcoin’s price has continued to hover around $79,590, down nearly 6% in a month. Bitcoin.com News reported that bitcoin is clinging to $80K with most moving averages tilted bearish.
When the market leader stalls, high-beta tokens like SOL tend to bleed faster.
Who Is on the Other Side?
There are buyers, and some fundamentals look sturdier than the chart. Roughly 71% of SOL in circulation is staked in circulation is staked, which shrinks the float that can be sold quickly. Circle has minted $112 billion USDC on Solana so far in 2026, nearly double all of 2025.
Institutions have kept building too, as JPMorgan just brought tokenized money funds to Solana for U.S. investors.
The network, however, also has headaches and a Solana trading bot was recently hacked for nearly $1M. Lastly, BNB Chain recently topped Solana in tokenized equity volume.
